Реферат: Social protests, in particular in the form of street protests, are a frequent phenomenon of modern world often making a significant disruptive effect on the society. Understanding the factors that can affect their duration and intensity is therefore an important problem. In this paper, we consider a mathematical model of protests dynamics describing how the number of protesters change with time. We apply the model to two events such as the Yellow Vest Movement 2018–2019 in France and Khabarovsk protests 2019–2020 in Russia. We show that in both cases our model provides a good description of the protests dynamics. We consider how the model parameters can be estimated by solving the inverse problem based on the available data on protesters number at different time. The analysis of parameter sensitivity then allows for determining which factor(s) may have the strongest effect on the protests dynamics.

Библиографическая ссылка: Alsulami A. , Glukhov A. , Shishlenin M. , Petrovskii S.
Dynamical modelling of street protests using the Yellow Vest Movement and Khabarovsk as case studies
Scientific Reports. 2022. V.12. N1. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-23917-z WOS Scopus РИНЦ OpenAlex

Даты:

Поступила в редакцию:	18 мая 2022 г.
Принята к публикации:	7 нояб. 2022 г.
Опубликована online:	26 нояб. 2022 г.

Идентификаторы БД:

Web of science:	WOS:000889945500001
Scopus:	2-s2.0-85142896669
РИНЦ:	59826497
OpenAlex:	W4310197336

Цитирование в БД:

БД	Цитирований
Scopus	5
Web of science	3
OpenAlex	6
РИНЦ	3

Альметрики: